All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | |
Valley Cross Kickoff |
Dave Bannon Invitational |
THSB State Preview |
Eagle Classic |
Conference Indiana |
Ted Fox Invitational |
Nike Valley Twilight |
Terre Haute North Sectional |
Bedford North Lawrence Regoinal |
Brown County Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
8/15 |
8/28 |
9/4 |
9/11 |
9/18 |
9/25 |
10/2 |
10/9 |
10/16 |
10/23 |
10/30 |
| Team Rating |
597 |
877 |
666 |
579 |
760 |
579 |
732 |
719 |
648 |
601 |
585 |
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
633 |
666 |
579 |
561 |
579 |
732 |
719 |
648 |
601 |
585 |
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Valley Cross Kickoff |
Dave Bannon Invitational |
THSB State Preview |
Eagle Classic |
Conference Indiana |
Ted Fox Invitational |
Nike Valley Twilight |
Terre Haute North Sectional |
Bedford North Lawrence Regoinal |
Brown County Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 45 |
Matt Gambill |
12 |
16:16 |
15:59 |
17:28 |
15:59 |
16:04 |
16:05 |
16:23 |
16:37 |
16:10 |
16:06 |
16:17 |
16:23 |
| 149 |
Ethan Aidoo |
10 |
16:52 |
|
16:48 |
16:44 |
16:36 |
16:49 |
17:20 |
16:59 |
17:11 |
16:36 |
16:46 |
|
| 412 |
Tate Alcorn |
12 |
17:36 |
18:46 |
17:44 |
18:06 |
|
17:46 |
18:02 |
18:07 |
17:48 |
18:00 |
17:27 |
|
| 601 |
Eric Haworth |
12 |
17:55 |
17:45 |
17:30 |
17:36 |
17:50 |
17:30 |
18:22 |
18:12 |
17:51 |
17:59 |
18:10 |
|
| 1,096 |
Mason Cranford |
12 |
18:41 |
19:57 |
18:52 |
18:56 |
|
19:39 |
19:52 |
19:03 |
19:30 |
18:36 |
18:30 |
|
| 1,294 |
Connor Lauritzen |
9 |
18:54 |
|
20:01 |
18:56 |
19:04 |
18:53 |
19:18 |
19:27 |
18:57 |
18:56 |
18:44 |
|
|
Isaac Hults |
12 |
19:21 |
20:04 |
|
|
20:10 |
19:12 |
18:56 |
19:15 |
|
|
|
|
|
Braden Fears |
9 |
19:21 |
18:19 |
19:22 |
18:35 |
19:46 |
|
|
|
19:57 |
|
|
|
|
Paul Bawinkel |
10 |
19:23 |
20:24 |
20:14 |
19:48 |
19:42 |
20:01 |
19:27 |
20:15 |
|
18:44 |
19:12 |
|
|
Isaac Long |
10 |
20:07 |
20:16 |
19:59 |
|
20:54 |
20:52 |
19:36 |
19:46 |
|
|
|
|
|
Sean Donlan |
12 |
20:10 |
20:45 |
19:44 |
19:59 |
20:20 |
20:08 |
20:15 |
20:14 |
|
|
|
|
|
Sam Mallory |
11 |
20:29 |
21:09 |
21:10 |
20:22 |
20:19 |
20:25 |
19:59 |
20:49 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
11.3 |
302 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.5 |
1.8 |
5.3 |
10.9 |
17.6 |
19.4 |
17.0 |
13.7 |
8.9 |
3.6 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
4.0 |
110 |
|
|
0.4 |
99.4 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.0 |
48 |
0.1 |
99.5 |
0.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Matt Gambill |
92.8% |
46.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.2 |
92.8% |
92.8% |
| Ethan Aidoo |
4.2% |
94.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4.2% |
4.2% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Matt Gambill |
100% |
10.7 |
|
0.1 |
0.7 |
2.5 |
5.0 |
6.5 |
7.9 |
7.4 |
7.0 |
7.4 |
7.4 |
5.9 |
5.5 |
4.7 |
4.4 |
4.3 |
3.8 |
3.1 |
2.6 |
2.5 |
2.1 |
1.8 |
1.5 |
1.2 |
1.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Ethan Aidoo |
100% |
37.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Tate Alcorn |
100% |
76.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.7% |
| Eric Haworth |
100% |
103.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
91.3% |
| Mason Cranford |
100% |
148.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.5% |
| Connor Lauritzen |
100% |
156.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Matt Gambill |
100% |
2.0 |
31.6 |
18.5 |
13.4 |
10.6 |
9.4 |
6.6 |
4.5 |
2.5 |
1.6 |
0.9 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Ethan Aidoo |
100% |
11.8 |
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.7 |
3.5 |
5.6 |
7.0 |
10.0 |
12.7 |
10.0 |
8.6 |
7.7 |
8.4 |
10.0 |
7.7 |
3.0 |
1.7 |
0.7 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Tate Alcorn |
100% |
22.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
2.8 |
4.9 |
7.3 |
10.9 |
12.9 |
13.4 |
11.9 |
9.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Eric Haworth |
100% |
29.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.3 |
2.3 |
4.0 |
5.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Mason Cranford |
100% |
46.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Connor Lauritzen |
100% |
53.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Matt Gambill |
1.4 |
41.3 |
20.7 |
13.3 |
13.2 |
11.5 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Ethan Aidoo |
5.6 |
|
0.3 |
1.0 |
2.2 |
6.4 |
65.7 |
23.9 |
0.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Tate Alcorn |
8.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.9 |
35.4 |
34.4 |
14.9 |
10.3 |
2.4 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Eric Haworth |
11.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.7 |
6.0 |
19.4 |
18.8 |
29.2 |
14.2 |
7.0 |
3.7 |
0.8 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Mason Cranford |
18.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.4 |
1.7 |
4.1 |
11.3 |
14.0 |
14.6 |
15.1 |
13.8 |
11.6 |
7.5 |
4.2 |
1.4 |
0.3 |
| Connor Lauritzen |
21.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
2.7 |
4.4 |
6.8 |
11.2 |
15.0 |
18.2 |
18.2 |
15.2 |
5.5 |
|
